Eidai Kako Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
7,477.49
increased by 2,196.78
1 Week
5,954.77
increased by 674.06
1 Month
5,357.16
increased by 76.45
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 369 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9544 | 5.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0799 | 12.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9182 | 133.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0037 | -1.49 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
369 days
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