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Sougou Shouken Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

10,557.10

increased by 6,923.95

1 Week

4,999.71

increased by 1,366.56

1 Month

4,216.78

increased by 583.63

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sougou Shouken Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 17, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 26 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3946
5.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1580
11.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8156
57.49***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ10.1347
2.46**
γ2-0.3127
-3.64***
γ30.3651
5.95***
γ4-0.3105
-4.62***
γ50.1533
1.42

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days