How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	1.4884	6.25***
αARCH	0.2024	2.35**
βGARCH	0.5501	2.73***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	1.4884	6.25***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2024	2.35**
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5501	2.73***

V-Lab

CyCraft Technology Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other CyCraft Technology Corp Analyses