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Reform Technology Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

8,712.48

increased by 6,038.89

1 Week

4,141.12

increased by 1,467.53

1 Month

2,946.33

increased by 272.74

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Reform Technology Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2020 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5218
7.08***
αARCH0.2092
8.94***
βGARCH0.7419
26.25***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1130
-3.78***

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5218
7.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2092
8.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7419
26.25***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1130
-3.78***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days