Sunautas Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Inactive
Last recorded values (Monday, August 18th, 2025):
1 Day
306.46
1 Week
350.56
1 Month
574.20
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 05:21 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2000 to Aug 15, 2025Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 61 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4574 | 4.04*** |
| αARCH | 0.1508 | 11.04*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8378 | 50.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.0374 | -0.29 |
| γ2 | 0.3959 | 2.00** |
| γ3 | -1.0187 | -7.53*** |
| γ4 | 1.1455 | 7.81*** |
| γ5 | -0.8011 | -5.77*** |
| γ6 | 0.5609 | 3.85*** |
| γ7 | -0.3785 | -1.92* |
0.989
Persistence61d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4574 | 4.04*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1508 | 11.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8378 | 50.48*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.0374 | -0.29 |
| γ2 | 0.3959 | 2.00** |
| γ3 | -1.0187 | -7.53*** |
| γ4 | 1.1455 | 7.81*** |
| γ5 | -0.8011 | -5.77*** |
| γ6 | 0.5609 | 3.85*** |
| γ7 | -0.3785 | -1.92* |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
61 days
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