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V-Lab

Nagaileben Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

44.33

decreased by 3.83

1 Week

50.46

increased by 2.30

1 Month

74.85

increased by 26.69

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nagaileben Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 16, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9417
3.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1017
10.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8875
73.40***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.2003
-6.22***
γ20.3036
6.55***
γ3-0.1507
-5.68***
γ40.0811
3.64***
γ5-0.0737
-2.62***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days