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V-Lab

Harima-Kyowa Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,254.29

decreased by 704.33

1 Week

5,188.39

decreased by 1,770.23

1 Month

4,248.47

decreased by 2,710.15

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Harima-Kyowa Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 13 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.5311
4.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1133
8.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8335
40.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ10.0836
0.46
γ20.1920
0.70
γ3-0.5306
-2.80***
γ40.3298
1.77*
γ5-0.3246
-1.59
γ60.8388
5.25***
γ7-1.1518
-8.39***
γ80.8401
3.88***
γ9-0.3701
-1.05

Persistence:

0.947

Half-life:

13 days