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Irrc Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

8,745.05

increased by 4,034.11

1 Week

5,312.94

increased by 602.00

1 Month

4,338.34

decreased by 372.60

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:43 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Irrc Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 25, 2018 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6558
6.31***
αARCH0.1738
9.72***
βGARCH0.7967
40.05***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0065
-0.32

0.971

Persistence

23d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6558
6.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1738
9.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7967
40.05***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0065
-0.32

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days