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Petgo Corporation Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

6,020.26

increased by 3,205.10

1 Week

3,325.02

increased by 509.86

1 Month

3,622.80

increased by 807.64

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Petgo Corporation ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 29, 2022 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3894 trading days (~15.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3894 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8607
4.97***
αARCH0.1544
6.22***
βGARCH0.8454
34.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5787
-1.85*

1.000

Persistence

3894d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8607
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1544
6.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8454
34.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.5787
-1.85*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3894 days