V-Lab
Alink Internet Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
4,223.20
decreased by 342.86
1 Week
4,323.15
decreased by 242.91
1 Month
4,739.23
increased by 173.17
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2019 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4710 | 3.53*** |
| αARCH | 0.1578 | 8.12*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7987 | 31.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.3918 | -4.40*** |
| γ2 | 0.6364 | 4.19*** |
0.957
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4710 | 3.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1578 | 8.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7987 | 31.66*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.3918 | -4.40*** |
| γ2 | 0.6364 | 4.19*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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