V-Lab
Jaic Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
6,480.98
increased by 4,165.60
1 Week
3,241.26
increased by 925.88
1 Month
2,691.04
increased by 375.66
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 08:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 29, 2019 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 276 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8474 | 3.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1781 | 8.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8194 | 36.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -0.6615 | -5.14*** |
| γ2 | 0.9344 | 3.24*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
276 days
Other Jaic Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities