V-Lab
Sanko Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
6,768.13
increased by 2,925.81
1 Week
4,535.92
increased by 693.60
1 Month
2,646.02
decreased by 1,196.30
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 23, 1995 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 321 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3052 | 5.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1034 | 12.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8944 | 109.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0071 | -2.37** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
321 days
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