V-Lab
Aplus Biotechnology Corp Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
11,481.60
increased by 4,734.31
1 Week
7,577.44
increased by 830.15
1 Month
5,608.05
decreased by 1,139.24
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 09:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2110 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2357 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7643 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 5.7473 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.0793 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -38.1260 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 109.9833 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -161.7423 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | 105.4839 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -13.1529 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | -4.4976 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | -11.5813 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | 21.4242 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
Other Aplus Biotechnology Corp Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities