Pulstec Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,601.38
decreased by 436.29
1 Week
6,341.50
increased by 303.83
1 Month
5,433.51
decreased by 604.16
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:52 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3033 | 5.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1252 | 12.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8730 | 86.26*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0026 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
382 days
Other Pulstec Industrial Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities