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Pulstec Industrial Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,601.38

decreased by 436.29

1 Week

6,341.50

increased by 303.83

1 Month

5,433.51

decreased by 604.16

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:52 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Pulstec Industrial Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 29, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3033
5.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1252
12.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8730
86.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0026
1.68*

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

382 days