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CABIO Biotech Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

2,992.39

increased by 2,220.66

1 Week

1,287.33

increased by 515.60

1 Month

760.41

decreased by 11.32

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of CABIO Biotech Wuhan Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 28, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 234 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0179
5.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0977
4.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8994
34.74***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0437
-0.20

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

234 days