V-Lab
CABIO Biotech Wuhan Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026
1 Day
2,992.39
increased by 2,220.66
1 Week
1,287.33
increased by 515.60
1 Month
760.41
decreased by 11.32
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 06:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 234 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0179 | 5.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0977 | 4.22*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8994 | 34.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0437 | -0.20 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
234 days
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