Unicocell Biomed Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
6,104.92
decreased by 408.10
1 Week
6,682.93
increased by 169.91
1 Month
7,254.00
increased by 740.98
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 25, 2020 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.2208 | 1.80* |
| αARCH | 0.2596 | 2.56** |
| βGARCH | 0.3421 | 2.11** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 4.7535 | 1.69* |
| γ2 | -2.2537 | -0.48 |
| γ3 | -10.0742 | -2.59*** |
| γ4 | 15.8345 | 5.49*** |
| γ5 | -11.6862 | -3.91*** |
| γ6 | 2.7930 | 0.85 |
| γ7 | 1.1810 | 0.48 |
| γ8 | 2.1910 | 1.01 |
0.602
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.2208 | 1.80* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2596 | 2.56** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3421 | 2.11** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 4.7535 | 1.69* |
| γ2 | -2.2537 | -0.48 |
| γ3 | -10.0742 | -2.59*** |
| γ4 | 15.8345 | 5.49*** |
| γ5 | -11.6862 | -3.91*** |
| γ6 | 2.7930 | 0.85 |
| γ7 | 1.1810 | 0.48 |
| γ8 | 2.1910 | 1.01 |
Persistence:
0.602
Half-life:
1 days
Other Unicocell Biomed Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities