V-Lab
Advanced Energy Solution Hol Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
49.24
increased by 6.48
1 Week
42.72
decreased by 0.04
1 Month
25.93
decreased by 16.83
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 23, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9166 | 3.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1943 | 6.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7811 | 25.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2182 | -2.84*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
Other Advanced Energy Solution Hol Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities