V-Lab
Major-Power Technology Co Lt Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
9,595.66
increased by 2,492.75
1 Week
11,042.46
increased by 3,939.55
1 Month
6,939.76
decreased by 163.15
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 100.0000 | 1.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4598 | 3.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5155 | 6.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 29.5105 | 4.34*** |
| γ2 | -52.1788 | -3.37*** |
| γ3 | 47.7244 | 2.50** |
| γ4 | -28.5475 | -1.90* |
| γ5 | -14.9415 | -1.86* |
| γ6 | 29.5860 | 5.11*** |
| γ7 | -9.9044 | -1.62 |
| γ8 | -1.0469 | -0.21 |
| γ9 | -2.8425 | -0.86 |
| γ10 | 9.7211 | 2.08** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
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