V-Lab
Zoom Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
3,437.03
decreased by 550.93
1 Week
4,079.08
increased by 91.12
1 Month
5,224.34
increased by 1,236.38
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 28, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7859 | 0.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1661 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8339 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1380 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
173286 days
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