V-Lab
Star Plus Legend Holdings Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
12,734.22
decreased by 3,404.47
1 Week
10,252.71
decreased by 5,885.98
1 Month
3,524.59
decreased by 12,614.10
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 06:59 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2023 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8876 | |
| αARCH | 0.2257 | |
| βGARCH | 0.7743 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1979 |
1.000
Persistence693147d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8876 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2257 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7743 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.1979 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
Other Star Plus Legend Holdings Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities