V-Lab
Brainaurora Medical Tech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
13,662.17
increased by 8,492.90
1 Week
8,388.18
increased by 3,218.91
1 Month
4,207.48
decreased by 961.79
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1033 | 5.17*** |
| αARCH | 0.3044 | 6.14*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6765 | 14.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.5824 | 1.37 |
0.981
Persistence36d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1033 | 5.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3044 | 6.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6765 | 14.77*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.5824 | 1.37 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
36 days
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