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Brainaurora Medical Tech Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

13,662.17

increased by 8,492.90

1 Week

8,388.18

increased by 3,218.91

1 Month

4,207.48

decreased by 961.79

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 07:34 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Brainaurora Medical Tech Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 36 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1033
5.17***
αARCH0.3044
6.14***
βGARCH0.6765
14.77***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.5824
1.37

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1033
5.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3044
6.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6765
14.77***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.5824
1.37

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days