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Luo Lih-Fen Holding Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

6,463.84

decreased by 806.60

1 Week

6,830.31

decreased by 440.13

1 Month

7,745.14

increased by 474.70

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Luo Lih-Fen Holding Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2018 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1182 trading days (~4.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1182 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0342
5.00***
αARCH0.1554
10.77***
βGARCH0.8440
57.79***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0088
-0.19

0.999

Persistence

1182d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0342
5.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1554
10.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8440
57.79***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0088
-0.19

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1182 days