V-Lab
Energenesis Biomedical Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
8,288.47
increased by 1,464.82
1 Week
6,409.43
decreased by 414.22
1 Month
5,677.50
decreased by 1,146.15
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 16, 2026 at 01:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 8, 2018 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 69314 trading days (~275.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5895 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4014 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5986 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -11.5549 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 9.1127 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -1.6737 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 16.3091 | 0.01 |
| γ5 | -39.6162 | -0.05 |
| γ6 | 58.7318 | 0.01 |
| γ7 | -41.8293 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | 8.0222 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | 4.4479 | 0.00 |
| γ10 | -1.5207 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
69314 days
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