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V-Lab

Ifbh Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

4,517.88

increased by 1,570.81

1 Week

3,289.60

increased by 342.53

1 Month

3,020.68

increased by 73.61

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ifbh Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 1, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1048
11.66***
αARCH0.0742
1.53
βGARCH0.6410
2.02**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2587
-0.53

0.715

Persistence

2d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1048
11.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0742
1.53
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6410
2.02**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.2587
-0.53

Persistence:

0.715

Half-life:

2 days