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Knc Laboratories C Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

7,464.32

increased by 4,688.11

1 Week

3,988.43

increased by 1,212.22

1 Month

2,930.62

increased by 154.41

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Knc Laboratories C ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 15, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 329 trading days (~1.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~329 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0372
5.55***
αARCH0.1355
11.24***
βGARCH0.8624
72.01***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0310
0.94

0.998

Persistence

329d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0372
5.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1355
11.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8624
72.01***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0310
0.94

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

329 days