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Dr.Wu Skincare Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

10,191.21

increased by 6,364.98

1 Week

5,077.75

increased by 1,251.52

1 Month

2,902.98

decreased by 923.25

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dr.Wu Skincare Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2015 to Nov 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~99021 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5700
0.81
αARCH0.1688
0.07
βGARCH0.8312
0.34
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.8851
-0.04
γ21.1060
0.04
γ3-0.1640
-0.05

1.000

Persistence

99021d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5700
0.81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1688
0.07
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8312
0.34
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.8851
-0.04
γ21.1060
0.04
γ3-0.1640
-0.05

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

99021 days