Nan Liu Enterprise Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5,455.72
decreased by 802.90
1 Week
6,517.82
increased by 259.20
1 Month
5,798.53
decreased by 460.09
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 07:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 12, 2008 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 68 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 38.6180 | 4.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3033 | 7.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6866 | 16.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 2.2886 | 1.69* |
| γ2 | -21.5456 | -2.92*** |
| γ3 | 44.6023 | 3.12*** |
| γ4 | -29.8402 | -3.03*** |
| γ5 | 8.4924 | 1.72* |
| γ6 | -9.8957 | -2.08** |
| γ7 | 6.0815 | 2.43** |
| γ8 | -1.0413 | -1.29 |
| γ9 | 1.4100 | 2.48** |
| γ10 | -1.0923 | -1.23 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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