V-Lab
Wieson Technologies Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
11,786.40
decreased by 2,477.47
1 Week
15,817.36
increased by 1,553.49
1 Month
11,133.80
decreased by 3,130.07
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 13, 2008 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 204 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 13.1139 | 3.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3811 | 7.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6155 | 13.08*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 0.2732 | 0.26 |
| γ2 | -1.6448 | -0.75 |
| γ3 | 4.1904 | 1.93* |
| γ4 | -6.4874 | -3.02*** |
| γ5 | 8.4892 | 3.70*** |
| γ6 | -18.3732 | -6.23*** |
| γ7 | 31.7956 | 7.43*** |
| γ8 | -22.6619 | -5.11*** |
| γ9 | -23.5558 | -1.38 |
| γ10 | 71.0833 | 2.16** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
204 days
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