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Bank of Zhengzhou Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

12,643.83

increased by 10,241.28

1 Week

5,071.12

increased by 2,668.57

1 Month

3,531.22

increased by 1,128.67

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bank of Zhengzhou Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 23, 2015 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2094 trading days (~8.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2094 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst16.9324
2.02**
αARCH0.2473
5.52***
βGARCH0.7523
16.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.9320
-0.64
γ21.6832
0.62
γ3-5.6056
-0.95
γ42.6190
0.25
γ513.1789
0.90
γ6-5.8011
-0.40
γ7-25.3113
-1.86*
γ837.0700
2.37**
γ9-23.2090
-1.76*

1.000

Persistence

2094d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

16.9324
2.02**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2473
5.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7523
16.81***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-0.9320
-0.64
γ21.6832
0.62
γ3-5.6056
-0.95
γ42.6190
0.25
γ513.1789
0.90
γ6-5.8011
-0.40
γ7-25.3113
-1.86*
γ837.0700
2.37**
γ9-23.2090
-1.76*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2094 days