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V-Lab

Mubang High-Tech Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

683.93

increased by 127.21

1 Week

487.02

decreased by 69.70

1 Month

444.24

decreased by 112.48

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 2, 2026 at 02:50 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mubang High-Tech Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2015 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 14747 trading days (~58.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4599
0.45
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4097
0.24
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5903
0.35
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ15.6324
0.03
γ2-25.1601
-0.18
γ345.3580
0.64
γ4-39.6232
-0.56
γ516.2714
0.46
γ6-3.7478
-0.29
γ72.8400
0.40
γ8-3.0397
-0.61
γ92.7922
0.64
γ10-3.6435
-0.68

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

14747 days