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Kawagishi Bridge Wks Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

5,984.29

increased by 2,391.53

1 Week

4,247.88

increased by 655.12

1 Month

2,675.78

decreased by 916.98

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kawagishi Bridge Wks Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 1992 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 47 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8059
3.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1181
12.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8671
85.58***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ10.1027
2.19**
γ2-0.3016
-4.35***
γ30.4003
8.10***
γ4-0.4151
-8.60***
γ50.3567
6.62***
γ6-0.1287
-2.29**
γ7-0.1275
-1.77*

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days