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Daiken Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

7,214.96

decreased by 293.04

1 Week

7,421.12

decreased by 86.88

1 Month

6,148.59

decreased by 1,359.41

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Daiken Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.1112
7.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1176
11.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8733
86.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0038
2.07**

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

76 days