V-Lab
Daiken Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
7,214.96
decreased by 293.04
1 Week
7,421.12
decreased by 86.88
1 Month
6,148.59
decreased by 1,359.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 1997 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1112 | 7.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1176 | 11.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8733 | 86.24*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0038 | 2.07** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
76 days
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