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Sea & Land Integrated Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 29th, 2026

1 Day

9,888.63

increased by 4,067.16

1 Week

5,263.21

decreased by 558.26

1 Month

3,610.32

decreased by 2,211.15

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sea & Land Integrated Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2006 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 49510 trading days (~196.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0043
0.95
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1806
0.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8194
0.24
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-1.2250
-0.03
γ21.7704
0.04
γ3-1.5482
-0.22
γ42.3302
0.53
γ5-2.5646
-0.50
γ62.1570
0.44
γ7-1.2493
-0.24

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

49510 days