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V-Lab

Auto Server Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

10,711.25

increased by 9,727.04

1 Week

2,833.77

increased by 1,849.56

1 Month

1,849.47

increased by 865.26

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Auto Server Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 26, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4386
7.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2029
5.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7391
17.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1929
-1.24

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days