V-Lab
Auto Server Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
10,711.25
increased by 9,727.04
1 Week
2,833.77
increased by 1,849.56
1 Month
1,849.47
increased by 865.26
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 26, 2023 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 12 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4386 | 7.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2029 | 5.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7391 | 17.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1929 | -1.24 |
Persistence:
0.942
Half-life:
12 days
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