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V-Lab

Prodelight Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 17th, 2026

1 Day

11,168.29

increased by 4,702.42

1 Week

8,148.88

increased by 1,683.01

1 Month

5,646.27

decreased by 819.60

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Prodelight Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 28, 2023 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0840
6.13***
αARCH0.2185
7.23***
βGARCH0.7513
26.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1113
0.64

0.970

Persistence

23d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0840
6.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2185
7.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7513
26.16***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1113
0.64

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days