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Tohoku Steel Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1,376.32

decreased by 54.38

1 Week

1,339.53

decreased by 91.17

1 Month

1,239.39

decreased by 191.31

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tohoku Steel Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5317
3.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1141
8.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8754
60.83***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.3091
-3.38***
γ20.6164
4.67***
γ3-0.6759
-8.02***
γ40.7036
6.98***
γ5-0.4905
-4.29***
γ60.1746
1.25

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days