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Tohoku Steel Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

1,384.12

increased by 214.38

1 Week

1,384.12

increased by 214.38

1 Month

1,240.36

increased by 70.62

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tohoku Steel Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 65 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5372
3.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1136
8.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8759
60.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-0.3048
-3.34***
γ20.6083
4.62***
γ3-0.6682
-8.00***
γ40.6971
7.03***
γ5-0.4879
-4.34***
γ60.1673
1.26

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days