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Ko Ja (Cayman) Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

4,678.38

increased by 210.84

1 Week

4,974.16

increased by 506.62

1 Month

7,351.14

increased by 2,883.60

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ko Ja (Cayman) Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 29, 2011 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~99021 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0467
2.09**
αARCH0.1652
0.17
βGARCH0.8348
0.88
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0013
0.00

1.000

Persistence

99021d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0467
2.09**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1652
0.17
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8348
0.88
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0013
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

99021 days