V-Lab
Sakura Rubber Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
6,689.12
increased by 3,708.74
1 Week
3,252.75
increased by 272.37
1 Month
1,827.47
decreased by 1,152.91
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 1992 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 109 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.1181 | 6.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1188 | 11.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8749 | 79.65*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0041 | -1.23 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
109 days
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