V-Lab
OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
13,830.35
increased by 9,071.77
1 Week
5,597.95
increased by 839.37
1 Month
2,673.98
decreased by 2,084.60
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 07:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 12, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8336 | 4.99*** |
| αARCH | 0.2461 | 1.94* |
| βGARCH | 0.2806 | 0.88 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -25.8345 | -3.59*** |
| γ2 | 65.2952 | 3.70*** |
0.527
Persistence1d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8336 | 4.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2461 | 1.94* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.2806 | 0.88 |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -25.8345 | -3.59*** |
| γ2 | 65.2952 | 3.70*** |
Persistence:
0.527
Half-life:
1 days
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