V-Lab
X-Legend Entertainment Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
5,912.97
increased by 1,113.12
1 Week
5,157.93
increased by 358.08
1 Month
5,991.49
increased by 1,191.64
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 31, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6908 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1031 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8969 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | 2.2591 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -8.1700 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 10.4130 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | -5.3146 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | 0.6355 | 0.00 |
| γ6 | 0.7808 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -1.5979 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | 2.1935 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | -1.4476 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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