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V-Lab

Triis Incorporated Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

8,350.37

increased by 6,949.48

1 Week

3,011.87

increased by 1,610.98

1 Month

2,093.16

increased by 692.27

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Triis Incorporated ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 3, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1370 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0165
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2383
18.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7612
58.49***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.5205
-2.44**
γ22.5817
3.21***
γ3-1.3577
-5.40***
γ4-0.1071
-0.72
γ50.8024
5.26***
γ6-0.6515
-3.79***
γ70.5418
3.23***
γ8-0.4199
-2.12**
γ9-0.1668
-0.51

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1370 days