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Regal Holding Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

5,161.08

increased by 36.52

1 Week

5,542.35

increased by 417.79

1 Month

5,574.42

increased by 449.86

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 08:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Regal Holding Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 28, 2016 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1497 trading days (~5.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1497 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0264
5.08***
αARCH0.1169
6.36***
βGARCH0.8826
47.20***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1039
-3.72***

1.000

Persistence

1497d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0264
5.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1169
6.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8826
47.20***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1039
-3.72***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1497 days