V-Lab
Tsuji Hongo IT Consulting Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,895.26
increased by 4.63
1 Week
3,935.87
increased by 45.24
1 Month
4,150.45
increased by 259.82
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6838 | 3.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9812 | 16.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -8.8911 | -1.25 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
Other Tsuji Hongo IT Consulting Co Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities