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Tsuji Hongo IT Consulting Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,895.26

increased by 4.63

1 Week

3,935.87

increased by 45.24

1 Month

4,150.45

increased by 259.82

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tsuji Hongo IT Consulting Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6838
3.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9812
16.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.8911
-1.25

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days