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V-Lab

Gimic Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

5,165.31

increased by 0.51

1 Week

5,132.48

decreased by 32.32

1 Month

4,912.24

decreased by 252.56

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Gimic Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 19, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 28 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7820
5.59***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9756
42.40***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5405
-1.65*

0.976

Persistence

28d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7820
5.59***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9756
42.40***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5405
-1.65*

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

28 days