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Isamu Paint Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

3,115.53

decreased by 282.49

1 Week

3,473.75

increased by 75.73

1 Month

4,785.33

increased by 1,387.31

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 08:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Isamu Paint Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 2, 1992 to Nov 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 34 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0017
6.95***
αARCH0.0834
7.81***
βGARCH0.8963
59.34***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0156
-4.74***

0.980

Persistence

34d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0017
6.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0834
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8963
59.34***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0156
-4.74***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days