V-Lab
Drewloong Precision Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
10,293.00
increased by 4,453.49
1 Week
5,212.01
decreased by 627.50
1 Month
4,021.91
decreased by 1,817.60
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 02:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 3, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3261 | 7.51*** |
| αARCH | 0.1823 | 5.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7782 | 17.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.0249 | 4.03*** |
0.961
Persistence17d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3261 | 7.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1823 | 5.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7782 | 17.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.0249 | 4.03*** |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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