V-Lab
Living Technologies Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
13,001.05
increased by 8,684.25
1 Week
6,298.52
increased by 1,981.72
1 Month
3,885.33
decreased by 431.47
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 28, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8788 | 0.22 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2190 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7810 | 0.02 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.4950 | -0.15 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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