V-Lab
Daito Chemix Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
586.47
increased by 63.75
1 Week
584.38
increased by 61.66
1 Month
634.45
increased by 111.73
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7914 | 4.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1439 | 12.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8453 | 73.53*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -0.1445 | -3.93*** |
| γ2 | 0.2202 | 4.17*** |
| γ3 | -0.2415 | -5.71*** |
| γ4 | 0.3589 | 5.09*** |
| γ5 | -0.3213 | -3.33*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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