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V-Lab

Asmarq Co Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

15,419.37

increased by 9,046.96

1 Week

6,729.53

increased by 357.12

1 Month

4,352.85

decreased by 2,019.56

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Asmarq Co Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 1, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7142
6.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2790
5.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5863
9.53***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-1.5437
-4.00***
γ23.2036
4.19***

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days