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Phytohealth Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

6,571.77

increased by 1,032.07

1 Week

5,841.90

increased by 302.20

1 Month

5,158.19

decreased by 381.51

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

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graph of Phytohealth Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 18, 2005 to Sep 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 40 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5270
8.38***
αARCH0.1737
16.39***
βGARCH0.8090
73.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0119
6.07***

0.983

Persistence

40d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5270
8.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1737
16.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8090
73.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0119
6.07***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days